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#AFBF19 DTN Commodity Market Directions

Download Slides from DTN's Commodity Market Directions Workshop

Market Intel / January 15, 2019

Using DTN's proprietary Six Factors Strategies, Grain Market Analyst Todd Hultman has been a thought leader for farmers and agribusinesses on where commodity markets are headed, what signposts to watch for and what to do when those critical points occur. Hultman will discuss his unique view on the markets, how he uses technical and fundamental analysis to shape his view, and will outline where various commodity markets will be headed in 2019 based on trade, export and domestic demand, noncommercial interest in commodities versus other investments, and DTN's unique outlook for 2019 weather and crop production.

Contact:
John Newton, Ph.D.
Chief Economist
(202) 406-3729
jnewton@fb.org
 

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Credit: U.S. Department of Agriculture / CC BY 2.0 

The 2017 Census of Agriculture was released last week to much-deserved fanfare. The Census of Ag is a herculean effort undertaken by USDA every five years by a staff of dedicated professionals intent on asking the right questions, in the right way, in order to paint the most accurate picture of U.S. agriculture at the time the data is collected. One small point of reference to highlight how seriously USDA takes the Census of Agriculture - the response rate for the 2017 Census of Agriculture was 71.8 percent. Many studies have been conducted regarding survey response rates. The following response rates are common, according to the Center for Innovation in Teaching and Research: customer and member surveys – 5 to 40 percent; general public – 1 to 20 percent. The Census of Agriculture would likely be described as a hybrid of these two types. But by either definition, USDA’s doggedness for collecting responses is clearly impressive. The survey results will be the source of research and discussion for years to come; we dig into some of the high-level results here.

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Credit: Credit: jride / CC BY 2.0 

The egg market is far too complex to distill into one short Market Intel, so what follows is a high-level look at egg production in the U.S.

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