close [X]

#AFBF19 DTN Commodity Market Directions

Download Slides from DTN's Commodity Market Directions Workshop

Market Intel / January 15, 2019

Using DTN's proprietary Six Factors Strategies, Grain Market Analyst Todd Hultman has been a thought leader for farmers and agribusinesses on where commodity markets are headed, what signposts to watch for and what to do when those critical points occur. Hultman will discuss his unique view on the markets, how he uses technical and fundamental analysis to shape his view, and will outline where various commodity markets will be headed in 2019 based on trade, export and domestic demand, noncommercial interest in commodities versus other investments, and DTN's unique outlook for 2019 weather and crop production.

Contact:
John Newton, Ph.D.
Chief Economist
(202) 406-3729
jnewton@fb.org
twitter.com/@New10_AgEcon
 

Share This Article

Credit: United Soybean Board / CC BY 2.0 

For the past year and a half, however, U.S. soybeans have been subject to retaliatory tariffs by China. Not only that, but China has suffered a devastating outbreak of African Swine Fever, which has decimated over 30% to as much as 50% of the world’s largest hog population (African Swine Fever Outbreak in China, African Swine Fever and China: Part II and African Swine Fever in China Keeps Getting Worse). Reducing demand, driving down prices and pushing up stockpiles, these events have roiled U.S. soybean markets. In 2019, soybean planted acres fell to the lowest level since 2011, 76.5 million acres.

Full Article

At 136,000 new jobs created, according to the establishment side of the September jobs report released October 4, this was another “just right” report. Expectations for the report ran somewhere in the 145,000 range, so 136,000 was slightly below expectations, but not enough to cause concern. From the other direction, the number by itself was not high enough to lead us to think the economy is heating up. The wage data helped to confirm this by showing a 3.5% increase over a year ago. Again, nice, but nothing concerning in either direction.

Full Article